2024 2(47) 2

Forecast Format of a Hybrid Scenario of Spatial Renewal: Information-Technological Architecture and Socio-Environmental-Economic Determinants

Mykytenko V. V.
Doctor of Economic Sciences, professor, academician of AES of Ukraine
ORCІD https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8212-9777
e-maіl: vmіkіtenko@ukr.net,
Institute of Industrial Economics of the NAS of Ukraine, Kyiv

Citation Format
Mykytenko, V. V. (2024). Forecast Format of a Hybrid Scenario of Spatial Renewal: Information-Technological Architecture and Socio-Environmental-Economic Determinants. Vіsnyk ekonomіchnoі nauky Ukraіny, 2 (47), рр. 12-21. DOІ: https://doі.org/10.37405/1729-7206.2024.2(47).12-21

Language
 Ukrainian

Resume
A typology of scenarios for the organization of spatial restoration of economic systems with their unique adaptation to the needs of Ukraine and the development of a hybrid scenario format as the main strategy for substantiating a multi-level toolkit for its effective implementation by 2030 have been developed. An integrated eight-stage system was formed (analysis of initial conditions and risks (2024-2025); determination of priority areas of development (2025-2026); development of a hybrid scenario model (2026-2027); implementation of innovative and technological solutions (2027-2028); modernization of institutional infrastructure (2028-2029); integration of ecological and social components (2029); monitoring and adaptation of the hybrid strategy (2029-2030); ensuring the continuity of development and sustainability (2030) of the implementation of the hybrid scenario of the reconstruction of economic systems it is put into practice taking into account national imperatives, economic stability and predictive adaptability, which makes it a universal tool for comprehensive spatial reconstruction of the country in the post-war period. The predictive format of the hybrid scenario until 2030 has been built, which gradually ensures the implementation of the strategy, which: a) takes into account the dynamic multifactorial nature of recovery processes in the post-crisis period, where each stage covers specific risks, priorities and resources; b) integrates innovative-technological, cognitive-informational, institutional, ecological and social components into a single architecture of a hybrid format, which ensures high flexibility and sustainability of the approach to spatial development; c) offers monitoring and adaptation of the strategy at the final stages, allowing to adjust implementation mechanisms depending on external and internal changes, in particular in the economic, environmental and social spheres; d) focuses on ensuring the continuity and long-term sustainability of development until 2030, which for the first time combines forecasting, resource provision and adaptation mechanisms within a single conceptual platform for the spatial restoration of economic systems of Ukraine.

Keywords
organization of reconstructive spatial development, economic systems, hybrid scenario, forecast format.

Referensces

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Full Text (.pdf)

Received: 04.11.2024
Accepted: 09.12.2024
Published: 23.12.2024